By Mr. RI YONG PHIL,
Deputy Director,
Institute For American
Studies
As well known,
Northeast Asia is a very sensitive region in geo-political terms in which there
exists fierce competition between world powers as well as long-running, serious
disputes and confrontation structure in terms of territorial and historical
issues.
On top of it, the Korean peninsula, which is yet to see
an end to the war and is faced with another round risk of war all the time, has
become the world’s biggest hotspot.
The Armistice Agreement (AA) was concluded in 1950s to
bring 3 years’ Korean war to a halt. Armistice is not meant for once-and
-for-all end of the war, but a temporal cease-fire.
Ever since then, for more than 60 years, instable cease-fire
situation has prevailed over the Korean peninsula which is neither in a state
of war nor peace.
The above mentioned 60 years’ history should not be
simply regarded as the one of maintenance or sustenance of the AA.
It is the history in which the US, the belligerent party
and the world’s nuclear power, has kept threatening the DPRK, the other warring
party with its nuclear arsenal and aggressor forces.
It is also the history in which the DPRK has safeguarded
its national sovereignty and right to existence with its self-defensive counter
measures.
The US’s persistent nuclear threats pushed the DPRK to
join the advanced ranks of the nuclear weapons states and accordingly, turned
the belligerent relation between the DPRK and the US into the one between the
nuclear powers.
Times have changed and so has the DPRK’s strategic
status.
The DPRK’s successful test-fire of surface-to-surface
intermediate strategic ballistic rocket “Hwasong-10” is a clear declaration
that the US’s unilateral nuclear threats to the DPRK has come to the end.
The powerful DPRK which has possessed even H-bomb,
displays its might as a full-fledged, responsible nuclear weapons state which
is striving for just international order while deterring the US’s nuclear
threats, blackmailing, high-handedness and arbitrariness.
Today, the belligerent relation between the DPRK and the
US has fundamentally transmuted and the strategic structure in northeast Asia
surrounding the Korean peninsula has also dramatically changed.
Such a reality requires the replacement of the AA with
the peace agreement and establishment of the long-lasting peace-keeping regime
more urgently than ever.
Peace agreement and Confidence-Building
Recently at several multilateral stages such as
‘‘Ulaanbaatar Dialogue on NEA security’’ and ‘‘North East Asia Cooperation
Dialogue’’, some argued that it could be desirable for both the DPRK and the US
to take confidence-building measures first as the perspective on the conclusion
of peace agreement seems far-off.
In confidence building efforts, it is prerequisite for
the parties concerned to forge mutual trust that they could peacefully co-exist
and cooperate to achieve co-prosperity.
It is the most basic and fundamental factor in
confidence building to have trust in the other party’s will for peaceful
co-existence.
Without trust that relevant party would neither invade
nor do harm to the other party, it is unthinkable to build confidence among
parties.
It is the first and foremost issue in confidence
building on the Korean peninsula that the DPRK and the US should conclude the
peace agreement in order to put a definite end to the state of war.
The conclusion of a peace agreement presents itself as
an urgent matter to be tackled without delay in the light of the present
situation on the peninsula where a war may break out at any moment due to the
nullification of the Korean Armistice Agreement (AA).
The AA was adopted as an international legal document
which envisaged the establishment of lasting peace-keeping mechanism on the
Korean Peninsula, not a temporary halt to belligerence.
However, the U.S. has desperately blocked the peaceful
settlement of the Korean issue while reinforcing aggressor forces in South
Korea and introducing all sorts of war hardware including mass destructive
weapons into South Korea from abroad in systematic violation of the AA.
The AA was nullified a long time ago due to the U.S.’s
persistent violations and consequently, the relation between the DPRK and the
U.S. turned into de facto belligerent state of war from the mere technical one.
The current belligerent relationship between the DPRK
and the US on the Korean peninsula is no longer the same with the previous one
where the DPRK confronted the nuclear arms of the US with the rifles.
It is now the belligerent relation between the
nuclear-armed states.
At the 7th congress of the Worker’s Party of Korea,
DPRK’s supreme leader KIM JONG UN clarified that the US should roll back its
anachronistic hostile policy towards the DPRK and replace the AA with the peace
agreement with clear understanding of the strategic status of the DPRK which
has proudly joined the advanced ranks of nuclear weapons states and general
tendency of the times.
The stand of the DPRK government and people remains
unchanged to put an end to the state of war on the legal basis and to establish
lasting peace-keeping mechanism on the Korean peninsula on the legal basis by
signing the peace agreement with the US.
However, if the US persistently sidesteps the DPRK’s
demand for conclusion of peace agreement and keeps posing extreme nuclear
threats, the DPRK would physically root out the war state on the Korean
peninsula with the powerful nuclear deterrent.
It is urgent requirement coming from the grave situation
of Korean peninsula - the world’s biggest hotspot and the site of showdown
between nuclear powers – to conclude the peace agreement and establish durable
peace keeping regime.
Conclusion of peace agreement is prerequisite for the
sake of legal and institutional guarantee and groundwork for confidence building
between the DPRK and the US as well.
A string of agreements had been made between the DPRK
and the US in the past through negotiations on confidence building measures.
However, those measures remain unimplemented due to the
absence of legal groundwork to guarantee its implementation and in particular,
due to the US’s persistent hostile policy toward the DPRK.
Legal and institutional guarantee is also required to
prevent any possible nullification of agreements between parties caused by
every change of the US administrations.
It is a good example that Agreed Framework under the
Clinton administration and some measures taken by both parties became nullified
and went in vain as new Bush administration vilified the DPRK as an “axis of
evil” and designated it as the target of nuclear preemptive attack.
Establishment of institutional mechanism for peaceful
co-existence legally backed by the conclusion of peace agreement would make it
possible for both parties to agree on and implement practical measures for
confidence building, based on trust in each other’s will for peaceful
co-existence.
The DPRK’s sustained efforts for conclusion of peace
agreement
Since the conclusion of the AA, the US, the world’s
nuclear power, has been threatening the DPRK’s sovereignty and its right to
live while blocking the latter’s economic construction for peaceful
development.
The Korean peninsula is located at a strategic
stronghold in northeast Asia. If military confrontation and conflict continue
to prevail and eventually a war break out here, it would, in turn, plunge the
situation in the whole area of NEA into extreme tension and could be a fuse of
a nuclear war worldwide.
The DPRK has made sincere efforts to get peace agreement
concluded, out of long-cherished desire to put an end to the state of war and
achieve peaceful development free from any serious threat as well as its
responsibility of defending peace and security on the Korean peninsula and NEA.
However, the US systematically violated core provisions
of the AA such as Paragraph 60 which stipulates the withdrawal of all foreign
troops from Korea and the peaceful and fundamental settlement of the Korean
issue by the concerted efforts of the Koreans.
The AA which should serve as a clear legal ground for
concluding a peace agreement was nullified by the US in less than one year’s
time after it was signed.
In response to the US’s breach of the AA and
ever-increasing danger of war, the DPRK repeatedly proposed the conclusion of
peace agreement on various occasions.
The DPRK made such proposals to the US and parties
concerned in April, 1956 and to the US congress in March, 1974.
As the cease fire regime turned out to be no longer in
effect due to the US in early 1990s’, the DPRK repeatedly proposed talks on
establishment of a new peace regime and in 1996, initiated the conclusion of
provisional agreement to be replaced with the AA in order to prevent armed
conflict between two parties.
It again proposed talks on peace agreement to the AA
signatories in January, 2010 on the occasion of 60th anniversary of the
outbreak of Korean war.
The DPRK proposed talks again on peace agreement at the
70th session of the UN General Assembly and on various other occasions, as
required by the dramatically changed recent situation on the peninsula.
Nonetheless, our fair proposals and sincere efforts have
led nowhere so far due to the challenge and opposition of the US who is main
party concerned and holds the actual commanding power over the military in
South Korea.
The US’s aim lurking behind sidestepping Conclusion of
Peace Agreement with DPRK
Since 1950’s the US administrations have persistently
refused to respond to the DPRK’s fair proposal for conclusion of peace
agreement and establishment of durable peace-keeping regime on the Korean peninsula
and resorted to its war maneuver and escalation of tensions.
It is rooted in the US’s hostile policy towards the DPRK
and its strategy for domination of the world.
The US’s noisy fuss about the DPRK’s alleged threat is
none other than a mean excuse for justifying its hostile policy and ambition
for dominating the world.
The US has enforced aggressive hostile policy towards
the DPRK across the spectrum of politics, economy and military from the outset
of the latter’s founding.
The US has denied recognizing the DPRK as a sovereign
state because the latter has a different political system from its own one.
It has imposed various economic sanctions on the DPRK to
block its development and today those sanctions have become all the tougher to
the full extent to bring down the DPRK’s system.
In military terms, the US stations its aggressor forces
of odd 28,000 in South Korea, and worse still, it has kept threatening the DPRK
with nukes by way of calling in all sorts of strategic assets in and around the
peninsula.
In recent days, the US is driving the situation of
Korean peninsula to the brink of outbreak of a nuclear war by openly conducting
a "precision air raid operation" aimed at scorching down the nuclear
facilities and nuclear arsenal of the DPRK while introducing its strategic
assets into South Korea such as nuclear-powered submarine “Mississippi” and a
formation of nuclear strategic bombers B-52H.
The US-South Korea joint military exercises against the
DPRK are provocative and intrusion-oriented and as such, are most vivid and
specific evidence of a hostile policy towards the DPRK.
The US seeks to justify those exercises as annual and
defensive ones, but no country will overlook its warring party’s military
exercises taking place before its eyes.
This year, the US staged “The Key Resolve and Foal Eagle
16” joint military exercises on the largest-ever scale with utmost hostility to
the DPRK.
Those exercises involved strategic assets and huge
forces enough to fight a full war and extremely adventurous “operational plan
5015” – an integration of different operational plans such as “decapitation
raid operation”, a "precision strike drill” and “operation of storming
Pyongyang" targeted at our supreme leadership was launched under the
simulation of an actual war.
The US’s persistent denial of the conclusion of a peace
agreement with the DPRK is also prompted by its ulterior ambition for
domination over the world through holding hegemony over Asia.
It is believed that the US estimates that relaxation of
the situation and subsequent advent of peace on the Korean peninsula would make
it lose a good excuse for its military presence and reinforcement of forces in
the region and it would lead to having adverse implications for reining in big
powers in the vicinity of the Korean peninsula.
For this reason, the US categorically denies concluding
a peace agreement and seeks to intentionally strain the situation on the Korean
peninsula in an attempt to reinforce its justification for restraining and
gaining military superiority over big powers in the region.
The US exercised a Missile Warning joint drill, the
first of its kind off Hawaii together with Japan and South Korea in late June
this year under the pretext of protecting against the DPRK’s missile attack.
It clearly reveals the US’s desperate attempt to lay the
groundwork for forging tripartite military alliance by pushing South Korea to
join the US-Japan Missile Defense system and to rationalize its THAAD
deployment plan and gain military upper-hand in the region.
It is the US’s real intention to contain military
expansion of China and undermine the strategic balance with Russia through
staged establishment of Missile Defense System in East Asia as it did in Europe
and formulation of Asian version of NATO built on tripartite military alliance
of the US, Japan and south Korea.
The US’s claim that denuclearization should take
precedence over a talk on a peace agreement is nothing but a mean trick to
conceal its deep-rooted hostile policy towards the DPRK and its ambition for
domination over the world.
The issue of conclusion of a peace agreement between the
DPRK and the U.S. is not new one raised recently and the belligerent
relationship between the DPRK and the US was not spawned by the former's
nuclear deterrent.
It is well known that the DPRK has called for its
conclusion long before its access to a nuclear deterrent force. It dates back
to the post war time in 1950’s that the DPRK raised the issue with the US and
the international community.
Thanks to the DPRK's proactive and stubborn efforts, a
resolution was adopted at the 30th session of UN General Assembly which called
for withdrawal of all foreign troops out of south Korea and conclusion of peace
agreement between the DPRK and the US.
However, it has not been implemented yet due to the US’s
desperate opposition.
Some argues that “simultaneous discussion” on the peace
agreement and denuclearization could be a fresh solution to breaking the
existing deadlock.
But, it is an impracticable theory drawn from negligence
of history and essence of confrontation between the DPRK and the US.
A ‘‘simultaneous discussion’’ formula is the failed one
tried in previous dialogues long before the DPRK has become a full-fledged
nuclear weapons state as of today.
Six parties had already tried simultaneous discussion on
the issues of peace agreement and denuclearization in 2000’s, but those efforts
ended up with failure because of belligerent relationship between the DPRK and
the US and ever-increasing US hostile policy towards the DPRK.
As vividly demonstrated to the world, the DPRK has
proudly joined the advanced ranks of nuclear powers today.
The DPRK’s access to nuclear weapons is the outcome of
US hostile policy and it is not intended for a political bargaining chip or an
economic deal to be put on the table of dialogue or negotiations.
Conclusion of a peace agreement could be the first step
in terms of withdrawal of US hostile policy towards the DPRK, but never be the
last step.
Even if the state of war comes to an end through conclusion
of a peace agreement, dangers of a nuclear war could not be eradicated
completely as long as the US hostile policy and its ambition for world
domination remain unchanged.
The DPRK’s nuclear deterrence should be considered in
the context of complete withdrawal of the US hostile policy and global
denuclearization.
It is unthinkable to place in parallel the DPRK’s
nuclear deterrence and a peace agreement which is long overdue.
The DPRK’s access to a nuclear deterrent force shall
never be any kind of bargaining chip unless the US hostile policy fundamentally
comes to an end.
※ ※ ※
How to approach the peace agreement is a touchstone to
distinguish the peace-loving forces from trigger-happy ones.
Once a legal guarantee for peaceful co-existence between
the DPRK and the US is provided by the conclusion of a peace agreement, not
only the DPRK-US relations but also issues of DPRK-Japan and the North and the
South relations could be resolved.
The supreme leader KIM JONG UN said the DPRK would
improve and normalize relations with countries that respect its sovereignty and
be friendly with the DPRK even if they were in hostile relations with the DPRK
in the past.
If the US rolls back its hostile policy towards the DPRK
and makes a bold decision to conclude a peace agreement without any excuse or
precondition, then the DPRK-US relationship could mark dramatic improvement on
the basis of trust and it will give impetus to confidence building efforts in
NEA.
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